BCS Possibilities
With the Trojan out of the picture there are 6 unbeatens today. At the end of the season there can be at most 3. If two of these come from the Big Ten and Big East, then they should meet for the National Title in January. The Big East round robin format means West Virginia, Rutgers and Louisville still have the bulk of their schedules ahead of them. For the Big Ten, the November 18 match-up between Number 1 Ohio State and Number 2 should put one of these two in the Championship Game. Whom would they play?
Talk of a Ohio State – Michigan rematch should end right now. They get one shot at each other and then someone else gets a shot at the winner. The BCS should make the days of the rematch history. We will just have to wait about 55 days for that game.
If a Big East team wins them all, they should be in the title game. Will they? West Virginia with there high powered offense and the show they put on last year in the Sugar Bowl should put them high enough in the polls to get there. Louisville will have to win out impressively, especially, next week against West Virginia. Rutgers will not get a shot at the title. Yes, undefeated they should, but with the likes of USC, Notre Dame, Tennessee, Texas, Auburn or Florida ending the year with only one loss the BCS gods will not bless Rutgers with a spot in the game.
If the Big East beats each other up – look no further than the SEC – they will get one team in a BCS game and we will look elsewhere for Ohio State / Michigan’s opponent. Florida with a win over Auburn in the SEC Title Game gets the nod. However, they are much more likely to play Arkansas and if they end with one loss along with Auburn and Tennessee, it is a difficult choice. Give the shot to the title winner. That’s the team that would get the bid for a four or eight team playoff format. We should talk about that a little more I think.
Other possibilities are Texas coming off a win in the Big 12 Title Game; USC after wins over Cal and Notre Dame; Notre Dame after beating USC; Cal with wins over USC. There are other possibilities but let’s focus on these for now.
Notre Dame needs USC to beat Cal and then to win that game convincingly. They also need some help from the SEC. I don’t see them getting there.
Cal with a win over USC, especially if USC wins all the others puts them high on the list. The computers will like them and the polls will too. Cal won’t get past Florida winning an Auburn rematch, but they could get past all other SEC scenarios.
How do the Boise State Broncos figure into this? Title game, they don’t. BCS game, they should and with a little help from the SEC, they will get a spot in one of the big games.
Oh, did we leave the ACC out of this. Yes, we did.
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